Think about the following questions in
any order. You can make any assumptions, come up with an
approximation, an estimate, a minimum or maximum.
Q1. What does American Boy think is the
probability of his lighter lighting during any single attempt?
Q2. How many fingers to a Cadillac?
After the eighth successful attempt,
Man from the South's wife surprises them and ends the game. She sends
American Boy away empty handed.
Q3. How should he have been
compensated, if at all?
Q4. Were there to have been a 9th
attempt, and were American Boy to have failed in it, what would he
have lost?
The Man from the South's wife explains
that he has lost eleven cars and taken forty-seven fingers.
Q5. What does Man from the South think
is the probability that American Boy's lighter will light during a
single attempt?
Q6. How many fingers to a Cadillac does
Man from the South figure?
Q7. Do your answers to Q3 and Q4
change?
I don't necessarily have answers to all
the questions, but here they are.
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